The most valuable works of the past will always be recognised, but
I have no doubt that in the decades to come the music of the second
half of this century will get filtered1. Some
works will survive in repertoire2 and others
will gather dust3 on the shelves. When it comes
to4 liturgical music, a lot of very simple,
homespun5 music has been produced in the past
30 years and I hope ephemera6 like that will
be filtered out.7
Within Oxbridge8, nobody could pretend9
a choir was essential to the life of a college, but colleges would be
very much the poorer10 without them. So one
hopes that11 the new generation of clergy and
college fellows12 will value liturgical tradition
and, despite funding pressures13, support choral
excellence.14
The speed of communication15 is bound to have
an effect on composers—styles are now known and imitated so quickly
that "crossover"16 may be the buzzword17
for music in the new century. People can download anything in their
home, and you know tomorrow what someone on the other side of the world
did yesterday. Barriers between classical music, jazz and other forms
will continue to break down and audiences will derive equal pleasure
from lots of different styles. I foresee a greater plurality of taste18.
The great unknown19 is the effect new technology
is going to have on the soundworld20 of music,
as opposed to21 its forms and structures. In
this century we've seen the potential of percussion in orchestral work
develop out of all recognition22, and have
become accustomed to electronic music. So I anticipate developments
around the corner23 that will produce huge
changes in what we listen to.
I'm concerned about the place of music in schools and parish churches
in the future, since choirs and orchestras can only operate24
with the raw material they're given. There's already a realisation in
the big symphony orchestras25 that they must
engage in26 educational projects for the sake
of their own survival—to attract the audiences of the next generation.
As a teacher, my concern is that with27 technology
allowing students to compose on computer, they may not learn the real
fundamentals of musical language. Just as in a supermarket, where the
person at the check-out28 no longer needs to
engage in29 any mental arithmetic30,
so a composition student31 may not really know
how you form a dominant seventh chord32 if
all he has to do is hit a command key.
As a performer I know there's a very big difference between making
a recording in a studio and performing live33
for 1,000 people, and I believe audiences will always crave34
that difference. So my instinct is35
that great musical institutions36 like the
Proms37 and the King's Carol Concerts38
will still be with us in 2099.